This algorithm hierarchically evaluates risk factors in order of reliability to determine likelihood of rapid progression.1
CKD stage by age:
at age 18-30 yr: CKD 1-3a (eGFR > 45 mL/min/1.73 m2)
at age 30-40 yr: CKD 2-3a (eGFR 45-90 mL/min/1.73 m2)
at age 40-50 yr: CKD 3a (eGFR 45-60 mL/min/1.73 m2)
Historical eGFR decline, with no other confounding cause than ADPKD:
1) confirmed eGFR decline ≥ 5 mL/min/1.73 m2 in one year and/or
2) confirmed eGFR decline ≥ 2.5 mL/min/1.73 m2 per year over a period of five years or more?
Historical kidney growth in typical ADKPD:
(ht)TKV lncrease more than 5 % per year by repeated measurements (≥ 3)?
Preferable by MRI (ellipsoid equation), if not available then by another reliable method (CT)
Predicted progression by baseline htTKV indexed for age and/or genotype:
1) htTKV compatible with ADPKD Imaging Class 1C, 1D, 1E or US length > 16.5 cm and/or
2) truncating PKD1 mutation + early symptoms (i.e. a PROPKD score > 6)?
Predicted progression by baseline htTKV indexed for age and/or genotype:
1) htTKV compatible with ADPKD Imaging Class 1C, 1D, 1E or US length > 16.5 cm and/or
2) truncating PKD1 mutation + early symptoms (i.e. a PROPKD score > 6)?
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